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[iSSF 2020] Beyond Survival and Toward Coexistence ①

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Wednesday, September 02, 2020, 14:09:30

Kisoo PARK, Professor, College of Medicine, Korea University
EIDs & Human: focused on Covid-19 pandemic

 

[iN THE NEWS Jiyoung KWON] The COVID-19 Pandemic, A new infectious disease that is difficult to experience once in life.

 

At the end of last December, China reported an outbreak of COVID-19, with cases of patients with pneumonia of unknown etiology, to the World Health Organization (WHO). Now, after 6 months, the impact is beyond imagination. As this unexpected situation unfolds, direct damage such as the occurrence of death, as well as socio-economic damage, is spreading. As of July 7, the number of confirmed cases in the world is over 10 million and the number of deaths is at least 500,000. Compared to the 2009 H1N1 (swine flu) pandemic, with about 1.36 million patients and 19,000 deaths, this COVID-19 pandemic is much more serious. The problem is that, given the highly contagious power of the coronavirus, the impact of the second epidemic of the disease will be worse through the fall and winter of this year. About 100 years ago, in 1918, the Spanish flu virus infected a quarter of the world’s population (1.8 to 1.9 billion) and killed 50 million people. Because the second outbreak was more devastating at the time, the concern about COVID 19 is growing.

 

Viruses have infected humans since the start of human civilization

 

We have found the solution to infectious diseases that already existed in our bodies by developing treatments and vaccines. However, the damage caused by cross-species infections between animals and humans lasts for a considerable time, and it takes a long time to find a solution. Such infectious diseases can be traced back through human history. It was 8,000 years ago that the era when people hunted animals to obtain food transformed into the era when people raised livestock such as cattle and sheep to survive. Instead of stably obtaining food, humans took over infectious diseases from animals.

 

The problem is that cross-species transfer of viruses is becoming more frequent as humans try to quickly expand their domain through technological developments. The Spanish flu (pigs) of 1918-1919, AIDS (monkeys) that started in 1920, Ebola virus (monkeys) in 1976, bird influenza (birds) in 1997, SARS (civets) in 2003, and MERS (camels) in 2012 were all infectious diseases that infected humans through cross-species transfer.

 

Infectious diseases have changed human history both in the past and present. The black plague of the middle ages

 

It has been less than a year since this COVID-19 pandemic, but it has made a lot of changes in our daily lives and demanding further changes. Infectious diseases in the past have changed the system of civilization based on disastrous results that are incomparable to the present.

 

The best example would be the black plague. The plague enetrated the human body through fleas attached to rodents such as mice. In the case of respiratory plague, human-to-human infections occurred, and in the Middle Ages, the mortality rate reached 50%. The plague, which struck with famine in medieval Europe in the 14소 century, killed 30 to 40 million people, which is about 20-30% of the European population at the time. As a result, the Hundred Years’ War between France and England was halted, and serfdom was abolished due to a large labor shortage in Europe. Eventually, great socioeconomic turmoil such as famine, war, and plague disrupted the medieval worldview centered on gods and feudal monarchs and lead the medieval era to the Renaissance.

 

 

The structure of modern society that pursues advancement and convenience is more vulnerable to infectious diseases

 

The problem is that the more advanced our society is, the more vulnerable it is to infectious diseases. The first reason is connectivity and mobility. Human movement has never stopped in our 5 million year history, but the speed of our movement has never been faster. We can travel anywhere on the planet in a single day, and viruses can travel at the same speed. It is a clear example that COVID 19 has spread through the world’s major hub cities. The second reason is the creation of a dense, closed, and close environment due to urbanization. The logic of Ulrich Beck, “the more convenience is pursued in the pursuit of technology development and efficiency, the more we go to a risk society” applies equally to the problem of infectious diseases. The last reason is the increase in population.
There was no drastic increase in the global population due to wars, famines, and diseases, but there was a significant increase in the 20th century, thanks to medical advancements and technological developments. The human population increased rapidly, reaching four times what it was 100 years ago when the Spanish flu was spreading (1.8 billion to 7.7 billion). In 2050, the global population is expected to exceed 10 billion people. This increase in the population of one species is unprecedented in Earth’s history. From the perspective of a virus, this population increase means there are more carriers.

 

The emergence of new infectious diseases continues. The human population increases and viruses go beyond species

 

These viruses, bacteria, and other microorganisms contributed to the birth of the human species 4.5 billion years ago in the history of the earth. Cyanobacteria, which is the first microorganism in the world, changed carbon dioxide into oxygen little by little for over 1 billion years. Mammals were born on the land about 2 billion years ago, which led to the bipedal human species about 6 million years ago, resulting in modern-day homo sapiens. We humans have expanded our territory under the pretext of advancement or civilization and viruses continuously jumped between species as a survival strategy.

 

Humans temporarily stopped moving due to such infectious diseases, but they always restored their connectivity and mobility in some way. According to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), in the past, flights were temporarily stopped due to MERS, SARS, and swine flu, but most of them were restored to their original state within a year. Our desire to fly further is like Icarus who was unable to plant his roots. Connectivity has transcended spatial limitations through communication technology, and a key example would be video calls in this COVID-19 pandemic.

 

Going beyond survival, toward coexistence. We must understand the essence of the issue from a global perspective

 

While the COVID-19 pandemic shows no signs of slowing down, the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic is growing, especially in the US. At this rate, the height of the 2nd wave is bound to be more disastrous. Aside from smallpox, which is the first virus to be completely eradicated in human history, no infectious disease has disappeared from the planet despite the development of treatments and vaccines. Considering the highly contagious nature of COVID-19, it’s highly likely that humans will have to coexist with this disease. The changes in our daily lives and socioeconomic impacts of COVID-19 raise questions regarding how humans should live from now on. Efforts to get rid of COVID-19 in the world through treatments and vaccines are commendable, but this is solely a human survival strategy that does not address the essence of the issue at hand. Whether to coexist with nature or suffer under new infectious diseases is up to us.

 

English(中文·日本語) news is the result of applying Google Translate. <iN THE NEWS> is not responsible for the content of English(中文·日本語) news.

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권지영 기자 eileenkwon@inthenews.co.kr

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한신평 “NH투자증권 증자, 자본적정성·사업경쟁력·유동성 대응 강화될 것”

한신평 “NH투자증권 증자, 자본적정성·사업경쟁력·유동성 대응 강화될 것”

2025.08.04 17:15:15

인더뉴스 박호식 기자ㅣ신용평가사인 한국신용평가(한신평)이 NH투자증권이 추진중인 유상증자에 대해 "NH투자증권이 자본적정성이 제고되고 사업경쟁력과 유동성 대응능력이 강화될 전망"이라며 긍정적으로 평가했습니다. 이와 관련 NH투자증권은 지난달 31일 6500억원 규모의 유상증자를 결정했습니다. 3자배정 방식이며 최대주주인 NH농협금융지주가 전액 인수합니다. 유상증자 목적은 금융당국에 종합투자계좌(IMA) 사업자로 선정되기 위해 자본요건을 충족하기 위한 것입니다. 증자가 이뤄지면 NH투자증권 자기자본은 6월말 현재 7조5000억원에서 8조원 이상으로 늘어나게 됩니다. 또한 농협금융지주의 NH투자증권 지분율은 57.54%에서 61.9%로 높아집니다. 증자자금은 오는 8일 납입되고 25일에 신주가 상장될 예정입니다. 오지민 한신평 수석연구원은 4일 보고서를 통해 "유상증자로 자기자본 규모가 확대되면 자본적정성 지표가 제고되고, 유상증자를 통해 조달한 자금은 리테일 대출 재원, IB 비트레이딩 자산 투자재원으로 사용할 계획으로 자본력 개선을 통해 사업경쟁력이 강화될 전망"이라고 평가했습니다. 또 "유상증자 자금 유입으로 중단기적으로 유동성 대응능력이 강화될 것으로 예상되며, IMA 인가가 이루어질 경우 발행어음과 달리 장기로 조달이 가능해 수신기반 다변화와 장기성 투자자산과의 유동성 만기 매칭 관점에서도 긍정적"이라고 덧붙였습니다. 이와 함께 "NH투자증권 시장지위, 재무안정성, 증권업권 최고 수준인 현재 최종 신용등급(AA+) 등을 감안할 때 금번 유상증자 결정이 신용도에 미치는 영향은 제한적"이라며 "향후 IMA 사업인가 여부와 이익창출력 강화, 시장지위 개선 여부, 재무안정성 관리 수준 등에 대한 중장기적인 모니터링은 필요하다"고 설명했습니다. 농협금융지주에 대해서도 "농협금융지주는 6500억원의 투자금액을 회사채 발행 등 외부조달과 보유 현금성자산으로 조달할 전망"이라며 "유상증자를 반영한 농협금융지주의 이중레버리지비율은 2025년 3월말 114.9% 대비 소폭 상승한 117.9%로 예상되는데, 이는 2025년 3월말 은행금융지주 평균 수준 108%를 소폭 상회하는 수준이나 자금투입규모가 자기자본(3월말 현재 36조3000억원) 대비 크지 않기 때문에 농협금융지주의 실질적인 재무안정성에 미치는 영향은 미미하다"고 평가했습니다.




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